The flash flood disaster in Nepal could serve as a reality check for governments that are driving a boom in dams, tunnels, highways, railways, and bridges across the Himalayas, warns C. P. Rajendran, geo-scientist and adjunct professor at the National Institute of Advanced Studies, Bengaluru.
The exact cause of the Nepal floods is still being investigated by scientists, though current evidence points to a massive glacier collapse and landslide high in the Himalayas. The glaciers worldwide are retreating — but in the Himalayas the rate of glacier retreat is an acceleration mode. In Himalayan mountains, rainfall patterns are shifting. The atmospheric freezing level is moving upward. Precipitation that once fell as dense snow is now reaching as rain, accelerating glacial melt. As temperatures rise as part of climate change, centuries-old permafrost — layers of frozen rock, soil, and ice on steep slopes—begins to thaw. As glaciers retreat, they leave behind deposits of rock, silt, and gravel, known as moraines. These debris barriers trap melt water behind them, forming proglacial lakes. Eventually, as water pressure builds against the moraine walls, triggering a catastrophic glacial lake outburst flood (GLOF), releasing massive waves downstream. But the devastation could serve as a reality check for governments that are driving a boom in dams, tunnels, highways, railways, and bridges across the Himalayas to tap the region’s vast hydropower potential and exploit its natural resources. And China is not alone in this push. India, and to a lesser extent Nepal, have also been on an infrastructure-building spree in recent years in one of the most seismically active and climate-vulnerable regions on Earth. The Himalayan environmental regime is edging toward collapse, undermined by unsustainable projects that compound the risks of floods, landslides, and glacial lake outbursts.
The flash floods in Nepal is not an isolated phenomenon as it is comparable to previous regional disasters, such as the 2021 Chamoli disaster, the 2013 Kedarnath disaster and the 2021 Raini flood in Uttarakhand.
Home to the largest store of snow and ice outside the Arctic and Antarctica, the Himalayas are known as the world’s “Third Pole. Beyond immediate disaster risk, another major concern looms – diminishing water availability. These glaciers feed the major rivers that supply drinking water to billions of people in Nepal, India, Pakistan, and China. High‑resolution, continuous online measurements of key greenhouse gases in the Central Himalayas reveal that both environmental factors and human activities jointly impact gas levels in this sensitive ecosystem. A study led by the scientists at the Aryabhatta Research Institute of Observational Sciences (ARIES), found that natural processes and anthropogenic activities together shape the concentrations of carbon dioxide (CO₂), methane (CH₄), and carbon monoxide (CO) across the region. These rates are even higher than those recorded at Mauna Loa — a global background site — highlighting the growing influence of human emissions in the Himalayas. Numerous scientific studies confirm that soot — scientifically known as black carbon — is depositing heavily on Himalayan ice, significantly accelerating glacier melt. Over the past decade, these deposits have raised snow surface temperatures by several degrees, thereby intensifying the regional melting process. In addition, vehicle exhaust releases black carbon soot that settles on Himalayan ice, darkening the surface and accelerating glacial melt by absorbing more sunlight.
dry-season water supply could decrease dramatically While glacial shrinkage may initially increase river flow due to accelerated melting. Tourism and associated vehicular traffic in the mountainous areas have been major contributing factors to this situation.The region already suffers from unstable slopes and reduced river efficiency, largely due to development projects carried out with little regard for ecological consequences. Long‑term trends indicate a steady rise in both CO₂ (2.66 ppm per year) and CH₄ (9.53 ppb per year).
